In this article I will cover the No. 1 reason why most sports bettors lose, and perhaps even end up Ruinful in their sports betting careers. It’s called handicapping. It means using stats, Pro- Fleets, and statistics to handicap a game. The opposite of using a sports betting system.
There is only one rule in sports betting: the best team wins. So using a handicapping system gives you a greater chance of building a fortune. But, the catch is in the fallacy of think small, win big.
Skills in Baseball:
It takes a lot of skill to handicap baseball games, especially when you are betting on the outcome of a future event. Baseball is a game of swings, of luck, of skill and of guts. But if you don’t have a decisive advantage on your side, you are going to lose, slowly and surely.
The loss of a best team to injury, or when they’re not able to strike the baseball appears to be the beginning of the end of a team. These are the situations that cause most people to lose betting on their favorite baseball team. It is a brutal cycle.
So, if you are to correct your betting mistakes, there is only one certainty. There is no perfect system out there. If you have found one, you already enjoy a 25% betting advantage over the sports books. The problem is games against the worst teams can be a black hole. The best way to bet baseball to win is to not bet on every game, games that are the most important.
Why Game Reports Are UsefulIn addition to helping you to identify the best betting opportunities, the reports also help you to keep up with whats going on. I have found many systems and handicappers suggest an 85% win rate for teams. I would suspect that most of these percentages are wrong. If you do the math you will likely find that over half the wins a team will compile will be between 60% and 70%. That’s certainly not enough to win a fortune.
Some of the more sophisticated analysis and additional strategies suggested in the sports betting systems are indicated in the following quotes from noted NBA handicapper ‘C Scandinavian Sports’ in a coresports.com article, ‘ITION For picks, NBA picks and Pro basketball picks’.
Jakubneeds to remember that just as you are looking for spreads to apply in your betting the same goes for totals. The reason for this is that there are many unique situations to bet on and especially in total sports such as baseball, hockey, and soccer. Covering a spread can be the difference between winning and losing. When you are betting the spread you could either cover the bet on the money line or the total of the game. A positive result on the money line would mean a return of $100 for a $100 bet, a $200 bet would mean $300 profit. But what if the total of the game is less than the $100 or $200. In this case you might end up betting just the spread.
For example, a game might total 210. On the money line the Ravens are -250 and the Raiders are +350. If you bet the Ravens -110 and the Raiders +110, you would break even if the Raiders win by exactly 10 points. If the Raiders win by no more than 10 points, you would lose the bet. The conclusion is that even though the Raiders won the game by 10 points they would have actually been favored by about $100 or $210 to win the game. By betting the spread in this situation you covered the spread (although you would not have been at a loss) and won $100 for a $210 profit.
The final piece of advice I have to offer in this article is a bit of a twist on an age old betting strategy. Although there are armies of professionals that accept this advice, I feel there is one simple assumption that I feel anyone can understand. That is, that a winning sports bettor is always wagering the same amount on every game. 1925 was not the era of Buffet town! We didn’t have trash picks back then… what we did have were football spreads.
If you want to win, you have to bet people who are prepared to lose. If you can’t cover the spread then it is a bet worth accepting (adjusting your play). This is the old adage, “you can’t win kartupoker all.” However, I have to admit that when I hear this Iractally increase my probability of winning. I don’t take injuries, late scores, weather conditions, match history into account. It is possible to bet the bet and still win.